Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000148 0.000164 0.000181 0.000200 0.000222 0.000246 0.000274
2025-04-20 0.000118 0.000141 0.000168 0.000201 0.000242 0.000291 0.000354
2025-04-27 0.000102 0.000128 0.000161 0.000205 0.000263 0.000337 0.000440
2025-05-04 0.000089 0.000117 0.000153 0.000204 0.000275 0.000372 0.000515
2025-05-11 0.000080 0.000109 0.000148 0.000206 0.000290 0.000411 0.000600
2025-05-18 0.000072 0.000101 0.000142 0.000204 0.000300 0.000442 0.000677
2025-05-25 0.000065 0.000094 0.000136 0.000203 0.000308 0.000472 0.000755
2025-06-01 0.000060 0.000088 0.000131 0.000200 0.000314 0.000498 0.000830
2025-06-08 0.000054 0.000081 0.000123 0.000193 0.000312 0.000510 0.000884
2025-06-15 0.000051 0.000078 0.000121 0.000196 0.000325 0.000550 0.000991
2025-06-22 0.000048 0.000076 0.000120 0.000199 0.000341 0.000596 0.001116
2025-06-29 0.000044 0.000071 0.000115 0.000194 0.000341 0.000612 0.001185
2025-07-06 0.000040 0.000065 0.000107 0.000184 0.000332 0.000612 0.001225
2025-07-13 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000185 0.000342 0.000652 0.001357
2025-07-20 0.000036 0.000060 0.000104 0.000188 0.000359 0.000708 0.001535
2025-07-27 0.000033 0.000058 0.000101 0.000188 0.000367 0.000745 0.001678
2025-08-03 0.000032 0.000056 0.000100 0.000189 0.000380 0.000796 0.001864
2025-08-10 0.000030 0.000053 0.000097 0.000188 0.000387 0.000833 0.002022
2025-08-17 0.000028 0.000051 0.000094 0.000187 0.000393 0.000870 0.002185
2025-08-24 0.000027 0.000049 0.000091 0.000184 0.000396 0.000900 0.002339
2025-08-31 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000178 0.000390 0.000907 0.002428
2025-09-07 0.000024 0.000045 0.000086 0.000180 0.000404 0.000966 0.002684
2025-09-14 0.000023 0.000044 0.000086 0.000183 0.000422 0.001038 0.002994